Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Yavne: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Yavne?
Maccabi Yavne starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Maccabi Yavne have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Yavne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne 3-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| May 8, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-4 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Maccabi Yavne 0-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| May 2, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 3-1 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Maccabi Yavne 0-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Yavne score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Maccabi Yavne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Yavne sit 4th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 36 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Yavne?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Yavne played?
- Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Yavne is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 22, 2027Hapoel AzorvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Jan 22, 2027Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Jan 22, 2027Beitar YavnevsMaccabi Ashdod
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Marmorek
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel HaderavsKfar Saba 1928
- Jan 23, 2027DimonavsTzeirey Tira
- Jan 23, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Jan 23, 2027FC JerusalemvsNordia Jerusalem