Match

Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon

Holon YermiyahuShimshon Tel Aviv

The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Holon Yermiyahu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676).

Holon Yermiyahu win34 %
Draw26 %
Shimshon Tel Aviv win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holon Yermiyahu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Beitar Yavne(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Shimshon Tel Aviv(away)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-2Liga Alef
Shimshon Tel Aviv
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)4-2Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(home)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home)1-3Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 5, 2026Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-0 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Oct 5, 2025Holon Yermiyahu 2-4 Shimshon Tel AvivLiga Alef
Jan 17, 2025Holon Yermiyahu 0-1 Shimshon Tel AvivLiga Alef
Sep 17, 2024Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-1 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Feb 26, 2024Holon Yermiyahu 0-1 Shimshon Tel AvivLiga Alef
Sep 21, 2023Shimshon Tel Aviv 0-1 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu on Feb 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holon Yermiyahu1.31.549/158/15
Shimshon Tel Aviv1.31.067/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th (30 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Shimshon Tel Aviv22868282830
11Holon Yermiyahu226610303324

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Holon Yermiyahu.
Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?
Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Holon Yermiyahu and Shimshon Tel Aviv

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