Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Holon Yermiyahu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 2-4 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 0-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu on Feb 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Holon Yermiyahu.
- Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?
- Holon Yermiyahu vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 22, 2027Hapoel AzorvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Jan 22, 2027Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Jan 22, 2027Beitar YavnevsMaccabi Ashdod
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Marmorek
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel HaderavsKfar Saba 1928
- Jan 23, 2027DimonavsTzeirey Tira
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsMaccabi Yavne
- Jan 23, 2027FC JerusalemvsNordia Jerusalem