FC Jerusalem vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Nordia Jerusalem?
FC Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 FC Jerusalem win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-2 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Oct 17, 2025 | FC Jerusalem 4-2 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 3-1 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 13, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 0-2 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Jerusalem sit 2nd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Nordia Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
- FC Jerusalem vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 22, 2027Hapoel AzorvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Jan 22, 2027Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Jan 22, 2027Beitar YavnevsMaccabi Ashdod
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Marmorek
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel HaderavsKfar Saba 1928
- Jan 23, 2027DimonavsTzeirey Tira
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsMaccabi Yavne
- Jan 23, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsShimshon Tel Aviv