Beitar Yavne vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 20Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Beitar Yavne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Yavne vs Maccabi Ashdod?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Beitar Yavne (1,610) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Yavne have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Beitar Yavne win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Beitar Yavne 3-2 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Beitar Yavne vs Maccabi Ashdod on Nov 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Yavne | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beitar Yavne sit 8th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Beitar Yavne | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 30 |
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Yavne vs Maccabi Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Beitar Yavne.
- Where and when is Beitar Yavne vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
- Beitar Yavne vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on January 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 22, 2027Hapoel AzorvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Jan 22, 2027Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Marmorek
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel HaderavsKfar Saba 1928
- Jan 23, 2027DimonavsTzeirey Tira
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsMaccabi Yavne
- Jan 23, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Jan 23, 2027FC JerusalemvsNordia Jerusalem