Where and when is Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?

Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on January 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 20Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Hapoel Sderot

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Hapoel Sderot (1,653) and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562).

Hapoel Sderot win40 %

Draw26 %

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Sderot have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Sderot
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Dec 27, 2025	Hapoel Beer Sheva(away)	1-2	State Cup
Oct 29, 2025	Hapoel Hadera(away)	4-3	State Cup
Sep 30, 2025	Araba(home)	2-1	State Cup
Oct 2, 2018	Maccabi Yavne(home)	0-4	State Cup

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jan 5, 2025	Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away)	1-5	State Cup
Nov 11, 2024	Agudat Sport Ashdod(away)	0-1	State Cup
Oct 8, 2024	Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away)	2-1	State Cup
Sep 24, 2024	Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home)	3-1	State Cup
Sep 6, 2024	Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away)	4-2	State Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 4; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Sderot	1.8	2.5	0	3/4	4/4
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	1.7	1.9	2	8/15	10/15

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
Where and when is Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?: Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on January 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.