Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 16Kick-off on December 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Yavne Municipal Stadium, Yavne
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
Maccabi Yavne starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Yavne have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Maccabi Yavne win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2019 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2-2 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Maccabi Yavne 2-0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Mar 2, 2018 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-3 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Oct 23, 2017 | Maccabi Yavne 3-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Mar 3, 2017 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 1-2 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Oct 28, 2016 | Maccabi Yavne 0-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Maccabi Yavne on Jan 25, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Yavne score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Yavne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
- Where and when is Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?
- Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on December 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Yavne Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 25, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Azor
- Dec 25, 2026Tzeirey TiravsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Hadera
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsFC Jerusalem
- Dec 26, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsBeitar Yavne
- Dec 26, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Sderot
- Dec 26, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Herzliya
- Dec 26, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsDimona