Hapoel Marmorek vs Holon Yermiyahu: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Holon Yermiyahu?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Hapoel Marmorek (1,608) and Holon Yermiyahu (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Holon Yermiyahu have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Holon Yermiyahu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu 1-2 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-2 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 3-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-2 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Holon Yermiyahu?
- The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Holon Yermiyahu played?
- Hapoel Marmorek vs Holon Yermiyahu is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 15, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Jan 15, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsFC Jerusalem
- Jan 15, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Sderot
- Jan 15, 2027Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Azor
- Jan 16, 2027Maccabi YavnevsDimona
- Jan 16, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Herzliya
- Jan 16, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Hadera
- Jan 16, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsBeitar Yavne