Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Hadera: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Hadera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Hadera?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676) and Hapoel Hadera (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Hadera have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 5, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Hapoel Hadera | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Hadera?
- The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Hadera.
- Where and when is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Hadera played?
- Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Hadera is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 15, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Jan 15, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsFC Jerusalem
- Jan 15, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Sderot
- Jan 15, 2027Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Azor
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Jan 16, 2027Maccabi YavnevsDimona
- Jan 16, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Herzliya
- Jan 16, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsBeitar Yavne