Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Yavne: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Yavne?
Maccabi Yavne starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Yavne have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Maccabi Yavne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-2 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-1 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Maccabi Yavne 4-4 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-4 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Maccabi Yavne 5-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Yavne on Dec 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Yavne score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Maccabi Yavne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Yavne sit 4th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 36 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Yavne?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Yavne played?
- Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Yavne is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Azor
- Oct 23, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Oct 23, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsMaccabi Ashdod
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsDimona
- Oct 24, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsTzeirey Tira
- Oct 24, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsNordia Jerusalem
- Oct 24, 2026FC JerusalemvsHapoel Sderot