Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Yam Synthetic, Kiryat Yam
The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (1,763) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 5-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0-0 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 3-0 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2-2 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik sit 3rd in Liga Alef (38 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 38 |
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek.
- Where and when is Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek played?
- Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Yam Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Sep 5, 2026Ironi NeshervsTzeirey Tamra
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Sep 5, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Sep 5, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsTira
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsBeitar Nahariya