Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel
The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 5-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1-3 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik on Nov 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th in Liga Alef (12 points from 21 matches) and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik sit 3rd (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 38 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik played?
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsBeitar Nahariya
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Oct 31, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Oct 31, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 31, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsTira
- Oct 31, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Ironi Karmiel