Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tamra
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirey Tamra have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tira(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tzeirey Tamra win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra 3-3 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | Liga Alef |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 2-2 Tzeirey Tamra | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirey Tamra | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th (33 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 47 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Tzeirey Tamra.
- Where and when is Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel played?
- Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsBeitar Nahariya
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Oct 31, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Oct 31, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 31, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsTira