Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Arraba the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Ironi Nesher (1,612) and Hapoel Ironi Arraba (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ironi Nesher win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Nesher 3-1 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 2-2 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Nesher sit 11th in Liga Alef (29 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th (21 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
| 13 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Arraba the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba played?
- Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsBeitar Nahariya
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Oct 31, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 31, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsTira
- Oct 31, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Ironi Karmiel