Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,605) and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed (1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-3 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm on Jan 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th in Liga Alef (11 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th (17 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 37 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
- Where and when is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed played?
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsBeitar Nahariya
- Oct 31, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Oct 31, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 31, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsTira
- Oct 31, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Ironi Karmiel