Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Azor: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 16Kick-off on December 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Azor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Azor?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,670) and Hapoel Azor (1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Azor have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Azor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | Hapoel Azor 0-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Hapoel Azor | Liga Alef |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Hapoel Azor 1-0 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Hapoel Azor 1-2 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Nov 25, 2021 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-0 Hapoel Azor | Liga Alef |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Hapoel Azor | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Azor vs Maccabi Ashdod on Oct 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Azor score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Azor | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Azor sit 13th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
| 13 | Hapoel Azor | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Azor?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Azor.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Azor played?
- Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Azor is played on December 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 25, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Dec 25, 2026Tzeirey TiravsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Hadera
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsFC Jerusalem
- Dec 26, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsBeitar Yavne
- Dec 26, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Sderot
- Dec 26, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Herzliya
- Dec 26, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsDimona