Where and when is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Nazareth Illit

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,623) and Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,678).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win33 %

Draw26 %

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 26, 2026	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 21, 2026	Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)	0-2	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	2-3	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)	1-0	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(away)	4-2	Liga Alef

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 25, 2026	Hapoel Acre(home)	2-2	Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026	Ironi Modi'in(home)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026	Hapoel Afula(away)	1-2	Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026	Kafr Qasim(away)	1-1	Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Hapoel Nazareth Illit win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2025	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0-0 Hapoel Nazareth Illit	Liga Leumit
Jan 17, 2025	Hapoel Nazareth Illit 2-1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	Liga Leumit
Sep 12, 2024	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0-1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit	Liga Leumit
May 17, 2024	Hapoel Nazareth Illit 2-1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	Liga Leumit
Feb 23, 2024	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2-1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit	Liga Leumit
Nov 20, 2023	Hapoel Nazareth Illit 5-2 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	Liga Leumit

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit on Apr 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1.4	1.7	4	7/15	9/15
Hapoel Nazareth Illit	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	30	37	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
Where and when is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.