Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm

The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657).

Hapoel Bnei Musmus win36 %

Draw27 %

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)	2-0	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	0-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)	3-2	Liga Alef
Jan 24, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(home)	2-1	Liga Alef

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home)	1-0	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away)	1-3	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)	3-0	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 6, 2026	Hapoel Bnei Musmus 2-2 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	Liga Alef
Jan 25, 2025	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 3-2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus	Liga Alef
Sep 3, 2022	Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	State Cup

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm on Jan 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	9/15
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	1.1	1.3	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th (30 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	28	28	33
10	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	22	8	6	8	29	25	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?: The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.