Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Athos Haifa Lot 1, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ironi Baka El Garbiya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Maccabi Neve Sha'anan (1,674) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 3-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 4-1 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | Liga Alef |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 3-0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan sit 4th in Liga Alef (36 points from 22 matches) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 36 |
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
- Where and when is Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya played?
- Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Athos Haifa Lot 1, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Sep 5, 2026Ironi NeshervsTzeirey Tamra
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Sep 5, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsTira
- Sep 5, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsBeitar Nahariya