Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Tamra: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher
The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tamra the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Tamra?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Ironi Nesher (1,630) and Tzeirey Tamra (1,606).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Tzeirey Tamra have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tira(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ironi Nesher win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tzeirey Tamra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | Ironi Nesher 1-3 Tzeirey Tamra | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Tamra on Jan 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tzeirey Tamra | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Nesher sit 11th in Liga Alef (29 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 47 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Tamra?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tamra the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Tamra played?
- Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Tamra is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Sep 5, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Sep 5, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsTira
- Sep 5, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsBeitar Nahariya