Harborough Town vs Bedford Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bowden Park, Market Harborough, Leicestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Bedford Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Harborough Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,203 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harborough Town vs Bedford Town?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Harborough Town (2,087) and Bedford Town (2,043).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Harborough Town vs Bedford Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Harborough Town
Not enough data to predict the Harborough Town lineup.
Bedford Town
Not enough data to predict the Bedford Town lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harborough Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Bedford Town have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 1-4 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-5 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Harborough Town win, 1 draw, 0 Bedford Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Bedford Town 1-1 Harborough Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Harborough Town 2-1 Bedford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bedford Town vs Harborough Town on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Harborough Town score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bedford Town score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborough Town | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bedford Town | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harborough Town sit 19th in National League - North (17 points from 14 matches) and Bedford Town sit 10th (22 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bedford Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 22 |
| 19 | Harborough Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
A question about Harborough Town vs Bedford Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harborough Town vs Bedford Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Bedford Town.
- Where and when is Harborough Town vs Bedford Town played?
- Harborough Town vs Bedford Town is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bowden Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.