Spalding United vs Harborough Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sir Halley Stewart Field, Spalding, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Harborough Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spalding United vs Harborough Town?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Spalding United (1,906) and Harborough Town (1,977).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spalding United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Harborough Town have 8, 7 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 4-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Spalding United win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Harborough Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Spalding United 3-1 Harborough Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Harborough Town 1-1 Spalding United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Spalding United 0-2 Harborough Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Harborough Town 2-0 Spalding United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Spalding United 1-1 Harborough Town | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Harborough Town 0-0 Spalding United | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
Last archived meeting: Spalding United vs Harborough Town on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spalding United score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Harborough Town score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spalding United | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Harborough Town | 2.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spalding United sit 13th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Harborough Town sit 7th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Harborough Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 13 | Spalding United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spalding United vs Harborough Town?
- The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Harborough Town.
- Where and when is Spalding United vs Harborough Town played?
- Spalding United vs Harborough Town is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sir Halley Stewart Field, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.