Harborough Town vs Worksop Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bowden Park, Market Harborough, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Worksop Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
Harborough Town starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,977 vs 1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harborough Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 0 defeats; Worksop Town have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 4-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Harborough Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Worksop Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Harborough Town 3-2 Worksop Town | FA Cup |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Worksop Town 1-2 Harborough Town | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Harborough Town vs Worksop Town on Sep 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Harborough Town score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Worksop Town score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborough Town | 2.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Worksop Town | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harborough Town sit 7th in National League - North (8 points from 4 matches) and Worksop Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Harborough Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Worksop Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
- The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Worksop Town.
- Where and when is Harborough Town vs Worksop Town played?
- Harborough Town vs Worksop Town is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bowden Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.