Match

Marine vs Oxford City: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Marine Travel Arena, Crosby, Merseyside

MarineOxford City

The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marine vs Oxford City?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Marine (1,791) and Oxford City (1,842).

Marine win32 %
Draw26 %
Oxford City win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marine have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Oxford City have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026King's Lynn Town(away)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Chorley(home)0-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Hereford(away)0-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Macclesfield(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Bootle(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Oxford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spennymoor Town(away)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Harborough Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Spalding United(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Bedford Town(home)1-0National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Slough Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Marine win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Oxford City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Oxford City 0-2 MarineNational League - North
Nov 22, 2025Marine 0-0 Oxford CityNational League - North
Feb 4, 2025Oxford City 1-0 MarineNational League - North
Aug 10, 2024Marine 1-1 Oxford CityNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Oxford City vs Marine on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oxford City score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marine1.51.247/157/15
Oxford City1.91.0411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marine sit 18th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Oxford City sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Oxford City43107210
18Marine4103453

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marine vs Oxford City?
The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Marine.
Where and when is Marine vs Oxford City played?
Marine vs Oxford City is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Marine Travel Arena, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marine and Oxford City

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