Macclesfield vs Hereford: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Leasing.com Stadium, Macclesfield, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Hereford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macclesfield vs Hereford?
Macclesfield starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,932 vs 1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macclesfield have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hereford have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Macclesfield win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hereford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Hereford 0-2 Macclesfield | National League - North |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Macclesfield 3-1 Hereford | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Hereford vs Macclesfield on Mar 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hereford score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macclesfield | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hereford | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macclesfield sit 4th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Hereford sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Macclesfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Hereford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macclesfield vs Hereford?
- The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Hereford.
- Where and when is Macclesfield vs Hereford played?
- Macclesfield vs Hereford is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Leasing.com Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.