Where and when is Chorley vs Buxton played?

Chorley vs Buxton is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chorley vs Buxton: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire

Chorley

Buxton

The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chorley vs Buxton?

Buxton starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,776).

Chorley win29 %

Draw26 %

Buxton win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chorley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Marine(away)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	South Shields(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chester(home)	1-2	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Trafford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Buxton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hebburn Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Bedford Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Southport(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hereford(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Warrington Town(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chorley win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Buxton win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Chorley 1-2 Buxton	National League - North
Oct 18, 2025	Buxton 3-2 Chorley	National League - North
Apr 18, 2025	Buxton 1-0 Chorley	National League - North
Feb 4, 2025	Chorley 3-0 Buxton	National League - North
Apr 6, 2024	Buxton 3-1 Chorley	National League - North
Dec 12, 2023	Chorley 3-2 Buxton	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Buxton on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chorley	0.9	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
Buxton	2.1	1.2	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chorley sit 9th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
14	Buxton	4	1	1	2	5	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chorley vs Buxton?: The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chorley.
Where and when is Chorley vs Buxton played?: Chorley vs Buxton is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.