Haugesund vs Stabaek: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Haugesund Sparebank Arena, Haugesund
The Footlab model makes Stabaek the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Haugesund. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Haugesund vs Stabaek?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Haugesund (1,863) and Stabaek (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Haugesund have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Stabaek have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vard(away) | 4-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kongsvinger(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Raufoss(home) | 7-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ranheim(away) | 4-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bryne(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heming(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Egersund(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 4-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 27, 2026 | hodd(home) | 6-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Haugesund win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Stabaek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Stabaek 3-2 Haugesund | 1. Division |
| May 7, 2025 | Stabaek 2-1 Haugesund | NM Cupen |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Haugesund 3-0 Stabaek | Eliteserien |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Stabaek 3-0 Haugesund | Eliteserien |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Stabaek 2-1 Haugesund | Eliteserien |
| May 24, 2021 | Haugesund 0-0 Stabaek | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Haugesund score 3.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stabaek score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haugesund | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Stabaek | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Haugesund sit 3rd in 1. Division (37 points from 18 matches) and Stabaek sit 1st (39 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stabaek | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Haugesund | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 57 | 36 | 37 |
| 3 | Haugesund | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 18 | 25 |
| 5 | Stabaek | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Haugesund vs Stabaek?
- The Footlab model makes Stabaek the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Haugesund.
- Where and when is Haugesund vs Stabaek played?
- Haugesund vs Stabaek is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Haugesund Sparebank Arena, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.