Stromsgodset vs Asane: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen
The Footlab model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Asane. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stromsgodset vs Asane?
Stromsgodset starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stromsgodset have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Asane have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ranheim(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Egersund(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bryne(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 4, 2026 | hodd(away) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arna-Bjørnar(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kongsvinger(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(away) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Egersund(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Stromsgodset win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Asane win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Asane 0-3 Stromsgodset | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Asane vs Stromsgodset on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stromsgodset score 2.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Asane score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stromsgodset | 2.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Asane | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stromsgodset sit 4th in 1. Division (35 points from 18 matches) and Asane sit 14th (17 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stromsgodset | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 26 | 35 |
| 14 | Asane | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 40 | 17 |
| 14 | Asane | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stromsgodset vs Asane?
- The Footlab model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Asane.
- Where and when is Stromsgodset vs Asane played?
- Stromsgodset vs Asane is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Marienlyst Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.