Hanworth Villa vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rectory Meadow, Hanworth, Middlesex
The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Poole Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hanworth Villa vs Poole Town?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Hanworth Villa (1,848) and Poole Town (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hanworth Villa have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Kingstonian(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanworth Villa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hanworth Villa sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern South (9 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hanworth Villa vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Poole Town.
- Where and when is Hanworth Villa vs Poole Town played?
- Hanworth Villa vs Poole Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rectory Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Taunton TownvsChertsey Town
- Nov 21, 2026BerkhamstedvsFrome Town
- Nov 21, 2026UxbridgevsGloucester City
- Nov 21, 2026Chichester CityvsBasingstoke Town
- Nov 21, 2026SholingvsEvesham United
- Nov 21, 2026Gosport BoroughvsHavant & Wville
- Nov 21, 2026Wimborne TownvsBath City
- Nov 21, 2026Yate TownvsHanwell Town