Helmond Sport vs Almere City FC: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
The Footlab model makes Almere City FC the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Almere City FC?
Almere City FC starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,761 vs 1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helmond Sport have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Almere City FC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 8-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Helmond Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Almere City FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Almere City FC 0-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-1 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Almere City FC 0-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Helmond Sport 3-0 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Almere City FC 3-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 1, 2021 | Helmond Sport 1-2 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Helmond Sport score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Almere City FC score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Almere City FC | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helmond Sport sit 16th in Eerste Divisie (2 points from 3 matches) and Almere City FC sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helmond Sport vs Almere City FC?
- The Footlab model makes Almere City FC the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Helmond Sport vs Almere City FC played?
- Helmond Sport vs Almere City FC is played on April 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at GS Staalwerken Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.