VVV Venlo vs NAC Breda: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, Venlo
The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for VVV Venlo. The most likely score is 1-1. If NAC Breda wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs NAC Breda?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate VVV Venlo (1,687) and NAC Breda (1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VVV Venlo vs NAC Breda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1- 17L. Schmidt
- 11N. Ait Mouhou
- 24M. Odriss
- 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
- 7E. Zuliani
- 38Tristan Schenkhuizen
- 4É. Clancy
- 14Raf Vullers
- 33G. Blancquart
- 16P. Heise
- 13Y. Schoonderwaldt
NAC Breda
4-2-3-1- 9M. Soumano
- 78J. Van Hecke
- 6M. Balard
- 10M. Nassoh
- 28C. Brym
- 14K. Sowah
- 12J. Van den Bergh
- 22R. Hillen
- 2B. Lucassen
- 4L. Greiml
- 1M. Verrips
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VVV Venlo have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; NAC Breda have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 4-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | MVV(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VVV Venlo wins, 0 draws, 3 NAC Breda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | NAC Breda 0-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 15, 2024 | NAC Breda 1-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 15, 2023 | VVV Venlo 3-1 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 31, 2023 | VVV Venlo 1-3 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2022 | NAC Breda 1-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 8, 2022 | NAC Breda 3-1 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VVV Venlo score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; NAC Breda score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 2.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| NAC Breda | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VVV Venlo sit 3rd in Eerste Divisie (22 points from 11 matches) and NAC Breda sit 5th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 22 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 20 |
A question about VVV Venlo vs NAC Breda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VVV Venlo vs NAC Breda?
- The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for VVV Venlo.
- Where and when is VVV Venlo vs NAC Breda played?
- VVV Venlo vs NAC Breda is played on April 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.