Dordrecht vs FC Volendam: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Dordrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dordrecht vs FC Volendam?
FC Volendam starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,639).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dordrecht have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FC Volendam have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dordrecht win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Volendam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2025 | Dordrecht 4-1 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 17, 2024 | FC Volendam 2-0 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Dordrecht 3-2 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2021 | FC Volendam 4-2 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 15, 2021 | Dordrecht 0-0 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 23, 2020 | FC Volendam 7-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Dordrecht vs FC Volendam on May 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dordrecht score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; FC Volendam score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Volendam | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dordrecht sit 10th in Eerste Divisie (4 points from 3 matches) and FC Volendam sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dordrecht vs FC Volendam?
- The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Dordrecht.
- Where and when is Dordrecht vs FC Volendam played?
- Dordrecht vs FC Volendam is played on April 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at M-Scores Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.