Match

De Graafschap vs Roda: prediction and stats

Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:45 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem

De GraafschapRoda

The Footlab AI model makes Roda the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for De Graafschap. The most likely score is 1-1. If Roda wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win De Graafschap vs Roda?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate De Graafschap (1,680) and Roda (1,707).

38%24%38%
De Graafschap winDrawRoda win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for De Graafschap vs Roda

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

De Graafschap

4-2-3-1
  1. 9J. Kania
  1. 8D. Warmerdam
  2. 21K. Symons
  3. 10F. de Jong
  4. 7Bjorn van Zijl
  5. 23M. Diemers
  1. 3R. Besselink
  2. 16N. Martens
  3. 2J. Wieckhoff
  4. 15T. Kok
  1. 1T. Wieggers

Roda

3-4-2-1
  1. 9A. van den Hurk
  1. 4J. Nisbet
  2. 5K. Jansen
  3. 11D. Dorenbosch
  4. 25Bram Marsman
  5. 14X. van den Berg
  6. 8J. Mensah
  1. 3M. Tol
  2. 15L. Beerten
  3. 33D. Van den Buijs
  1. 1J. Treichel

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:33 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Roda have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

De Graafschap
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Jong Utrecht(home)2-1Eerste Divisie
Oct 3, 2026FC Eindhoven(away)2-2Eerste Divisie
Sep 27, 2026Den Bosch(home)1-0Eerste Divisie
Sep 20, 2026NAC Breda(home)1-2Eerste Divisie
Sep 11, 2026Emmen(away)2-1Eerste Divisie
Roda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Jong PSV U21(home)1-1Eerste Divisie
Oct 4, 2026VVV Venlo(away)0-2Eerste Divisie
Sep 26, 2026Waalwijk(home)2-0Eerste Divisie
Sep 18, 2026Jong Ajax(away)0-0Eerste Divisie
Sep 12, 2026Vitesse(home)1-0Eerste Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 De Graafschap wins, 2 draws, 2 Roda wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 12, 2025De Graafschap 2-3 RodaEerste Divisie
Aug 15, 2025Roda 1-0 De GraafschapEerste Divisie
Apr 6, 2025De Graafschap 2-0 RodaEerste Divisie
Sep 1, 2024Roda 1-4 De GraafschapEerste Divisie
Apr 19, 2024Roda 1-1 De GraafschapEerste Divisie
Sep 29, 2023De Graafschap 0-0 RodaEerste Divisie

Last archived meeting: De Graafschap vs Roda on Dec 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

De Graafschap score 1.6 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Roda score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
De Graafschap1.63.0113/1513/15
Roda1.71.067/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

De Graafschap sit 16th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 10 matches) and Roda sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Roda1044210816
16De Graafschap10325132311

A question about De Graafschap vs Roda?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for De Graafschap vs Roda?
The Footlab AI model makes Roda the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for De Graafschap.
Where and when is De Graafschap vs Roda played?
De Graafschap vs Roda is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:45 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vijverberg, in the Eerste Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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