Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Helmond Sport (1,582) and Den Bosch (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helmond Sport have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Den Bosch have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Helmond Sport win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Den Bosch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Helmond Sport 2-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Den Bosch 1-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| May 2, 2025 | Den Bosch 1-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Helmond Sport 0-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Den Bosch 0-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Helmond Sport 1-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Helmond Sport score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Den Bosch score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Den Bosch | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helmond Sport sit 16th in Eerste Divisie (2 points from 3 matches) and Den Bosch sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch?
- The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch played?
- Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch is played on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at GS Staalwerken Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.