Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieMatchday 34Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
The Footlab AI model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Den Bosch wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 6,369 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch?
Den Bosch starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,643).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 34T. Essakkati
- 9L. Bajrami
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 10D. Huiberts
- 94Mauro Lenaerts
- 4B. Koglin
- 5T. Poll
- 14Lovro Golič
- 2R. van Bree
- 1M. Bergsen
Den Bosch
3-1-4-2- 8K. Monzialo
- 9S. Karlsson Grach
- 10Devon Decorte
- 18H. Eikelboom
- 35B. van Schuppen
- 2S. Barglan
- 40I. Boumassaoudi
- 22Jeffry Fortes
- 3S. Maas
- 33M. Laros
- 1P. van de Merbel
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helmond Sport have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Den Bosch have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 6, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 4-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 0-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 5-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(away) | 5-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Helmond Sport win, 2 draws, 3 Den Bosch wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Den Bosch 2-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Helmond Sport 2-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Den Bosch 1-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| May 2, 2025 | Den Bosch 1-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Helmond Sport 0-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Den Bosch 0-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport on Sep 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Helmond Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Den Bosch score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Den Bosch | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helmond Sport sit 18th in Eerste Divisie (12 points from 15 matches) and Den Bosch sit 10th (19 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Den Bosch | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 19 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 12 |
A question about Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch?
- The Footlab AI model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch played?
- Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch is played on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at GS Staalwerken Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.