Jong AZ vs De Graafschap: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 19, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for De Graafschap. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jong AZ wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong AZ vs De Graafschap?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Jong AZ (1,688) and De Graafschap (1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong AZ vs De Graafschap
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong AZ
4-2-3-1- 9Jerolldino Armantrading
- 8J. Oerip
- 6R. Robbemond
- 10H. de Wit
- 11T. de Wit
- 7K. Toppenberg
- 2J. Zwart
- 3A. Natali
- 5K. Inge
- 4F. Andersen
- 1K. Zeggen
De Graafschap
4-2-3-1- 9J. Kania
- 8D. Warmerdam
- 21K. Symons
- 10F. de Jong
- 7Bjorn van Zijl
- 23M. Diemers
- 3R. Besselink
- 16N. Martens
- 2J. Wieckhoff
- 15T. Kok
- 1T. Wieggers
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong AZ have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; De Graafschap have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 6-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jong AZ win, 1 draw, 4 De Graafschap wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | De Graafschap 2-5 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 6, 2026 | De Graafschap 5-0 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Jong AZ 1-3 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 21, 2025 | De Graafschap 5-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Jong AZ 2-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 29, 2024 | De Graafschap 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: De Graafschap vs Jong AZ on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong AZ score 2.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; De Graafschap score 1.6 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| De Graafschap | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong AZ sit 11th in Eerste Divisie (13 points from 10 matches) and De Graafschap sit 16th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jong AZ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 13 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 11 |
A question about Jong AZ vs De Graafschap?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong AZ vs De Graafschap?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for De Graafschap.
- Where and when is Jong AZ vs De Graafschap played?
- Jong AZ vs De Graafschap is played on April 19, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Trainingscomplex, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.