Vitesse vs Dordrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)GelreDome, Arnhem
The Footlab model makes Vitesse the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Dordrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs Dordrecht?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Vitesse (1,721) and Dordrecht (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Dordrecht have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Al-Jazira(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vitesse win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dordrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Vitesse 1-2 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Dordrecht 1-1 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Vitesse 0-3 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Dordrecht 2-2 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 18, 2015 | Vitesse 3-0 Dordrecht | Eredivisie |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Dordrecht 2-6 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dordrecht score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dordrecht | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitesse sit 10th in Eerste Divisie (4 points from 3 matches) and Dordrecht sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs Dordrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Vitesse the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Dordrecht.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs Dordrecht played?
- Vitesse vs Dordrecht is played on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at GelreDome, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.