VVV Venlo vs MVV: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, Venlo
The Footlab AI model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for MVV. The most likely score is 1-1. If VVV Venlo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs MVV?
VVV Venlo starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,585).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VVV Venlo vs MVV
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1- 17L. Schmidt
- 7E. Zuliani
- 38Tristan Schenkhuizen
- 11N. Ait Mouhou
- 24M. Odriss
- 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
- 4É. Clancy
- 14Raf Vullers
- 33G. Blancquart
- 16P. Heise
- 13Y. Schoonderwaldt
MVV
4-2-3-1- 9T. Vinogradac
- 7L. Daneels
- 10O. Dumont
- 16R. Klaasen
- 18E. Sierra
- 24N. El Hamdaoui
- 6F. Dicke
- 17S. Wegen
- 22Sven Bouland
- 21D. Asante
- 1H. Wentges
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VVV Venlo have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; MVV have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-4 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VVV Venlo win, 1 draw, 4 MVV wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | MVV 2-1 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2025 | VVV Venlo 1-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 9, 2025 | VVV Venlo 0-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 13, 2024 | MVV 2-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| May 10, 2024 | MVV 2-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 13, 2023 | VVV Venlo 1-3 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
VVV Venlo score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; MVV score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 2.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| MVV | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VVV Venlo sit 3rd in Eerste Divisie (21 points from 10 matches) and MVV sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 21 |
| 7 | MVV | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
A question about VVV Venlo vs MVV?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VVV Venlo vs MVV?
- The Footlab AI model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for MVV.
- Where and when is VVV Venlo vs MVV played?
- VVV Venlo vs MVV is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.