Helsingborg vs Norrby IF: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Olympia, Helsingborg
The Footlab model makes Norrby IF the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Helsingborg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helsingborg vs Norrby IF?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Helsingborg (1,609) and Norrby IF (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helsingborg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Norrby IF have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oddevold(away) | 1-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(home) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(away) | 0-2 | Superettan |
| Jul 28, 2026 | United Nordic(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(away) | 0-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oddevold(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 2-2 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Helsingborg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Norrby IF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Norrby IF 3-3 Helsingborg | Superettan |
| Sep 29, 2021 | Norrby IF 2-2 Helsingborg | Superettan |
| May 19, 2021 | Helsingborg 0-2 Norrby IF | Superettan |
| Aug 2, 2018 | Helsingborg 2-0 Norrby IF | Superettan |
| May 24, 2018 | Norrby IF 0-1 Helsingborg | Superettan |
| Aug 5, 2017 | Norrby IF 3-2 Helsingborg | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Norrby IF vs Helsingborg on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Helsingborg score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Norrby IF score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helsingborg | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Norrby IF | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helsingborg sit 10th in Superettan (25 points from 20 matches) and Norrby IF sit 12th (23 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Helsingborg | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 25 |
| 12 | Norrby IF | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helsingborg vs Norrby IF?
- The Footlab model makes Norrby IF the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Helsingborg.
- Where and when is Helsingborg vs Norrby IF played?
- Helsingborg vs Norrby IF is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Olympia, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.