Varbergs BoIS FC vs IK brage: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Påskbergsvallen, Varberg
The Footlab model makes Varbergs BoIS FC the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for IK brage. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varbergs BoIS FC vs IK brage?
Varbergs BoIS FC starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varbergs BoIS FC have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; IK brage have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Böljan(away) | 5-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United Nordic(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Osters IF(away) | 0-3 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | United Nordic(home) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Karlberg(away) | 0-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 3-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(away) | 0-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Varbergs BoIS FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 IK brage win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | IK brage 2-2 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Varbergs BoIS FC 1-2 IK brage | Superettan |
| Apr 13, 2025 | IK brage 1-1 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Varbergs BoIS FC 0-1 IK brage | Superettan |
| Apr 1, 2024 | IK brage 1-0 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| Aug 19, 2019 | Varbergs BoIS FC 0-0 IK brage | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: IK brage vs Varbergs BoIS FC on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varbergs BoIS FC score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; IK brage score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| IK brage | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd in Superettan (34 points from 19 matches) and IK brage sit 13th (21 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 34 |
| 13 | IK brage | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 38 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varbergs BoIS FC vs IK brage?
- The Footlab model makes Varbergs BoIS FC the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for IK brage.
- Where and when is Varbergs BoIS FC vs IK brage played?
- Varbergs BoIS FC vs IK brage is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Påskbergsvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.