Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
The Footlab model makes Falkenbergs FF the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Ostersunds FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Falkenbergs FF (1,753) and Ostersunds FK (1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Falkenbergs FF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ostersunds FK have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(away) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 2-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Norrby IF(home) | 2-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | United Nordic(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(away) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 7, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Osters IF(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Falkenbergs FF win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ostersunds FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Ostersunds FK 2-2 Falkenbergs FF | Superettan |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Falkenbergs FF 4-0 Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Ostersunds FK 3-1 Falkenbergs FF | Superettan |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Ostersunds FK 2-0 Falkenbergs FF | Superettan |
| Nov 10, 2022 | Falkenbergs FF 1-1 Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Ostersunds FK 2-1 Falkenbergs FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Falkenbergs FF score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ostersunds FK score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkenbergs FF | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Ostersunds FK | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Falkenbergs FF sit 2nd in Superettan (35 points from 20 matches) and Ostersunds FK sit 4th (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 29 | 35 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK?
- The Footlab model makes Falkenbergs FF the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Ostersunds FK.
- Where and when is Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK played?
- Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.