Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Visma Arena, Växjö
The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Osters IF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping?
IFK Norrkoping starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osters IF have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; IFK Norrkoping have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Högaborg(away) | 4-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(away) | 3-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(away) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(home) | 3-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 4-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 3-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helsingborg(home) | 2-0 | Superettan |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(away) | 1-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Osters IF win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 IFK Norrkoping win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping 2-0 Osters IF | Superettan |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Osters IF 1-3 IFK Norrkoping | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Osters IF 1-2 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 30, 2025 | IFK Norrkoping 4-3 Osters IF | Allsvenskan |
| Feb 19, 2022 | IFK Norrkoping 1-1 Osters IF | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: IFK Norrkoping vs Osters IF on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osters IF score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Norrkoping score 1.9 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osters IF | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| IFK Norrkoping | 1.9 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osters IF sit 8th in Superettan (29 points from 19 matches) and IFK Norrkoping sit 1st (41 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Osters IF | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping?
- The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Osters IF.
- Where and when is Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping played?
- Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Visma Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.