Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fridhemsvallen, Uddevalla
The Footlab model makes Oddevold the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for IFK Varnamo. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo?
Oddevold starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,693 vs 1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oddevold have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; IFK Varnamo have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Helsingborg(home) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 4-4 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(away) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Norrby IF(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Växjö Norra(away) | 3-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 25, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Oddevold win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 IFK Varnamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | IFK Varnamo 3-1 Oddevold | Superettan |
| Aug 31, 2019 | IFK Varnamo 1-0 Oddevold | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 24, 2019 | Oddevold 3-1 IFK Varnamo | Ettan - Södra |
Last archived meeting: IFK Varnamo vs Oddevold on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oddevold score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Varnamo score 1.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddevold | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| IFK Varnamo | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oddevold sit 6th in Superettan (29 points from 20 matches) and IFK Varnamo sit 14th (18 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Oddevold | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 29 |
| 14 | IFK Varnamo | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo?
- The Footlab model makes Oddevold the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for IFK Varnamo.
- Where and when is Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo played?
- Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Fridhemsvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.