Match

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire

Hemel Hempstead TownDagenham & Redbridge

The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839) and Dagenham & Redbridge (1,850).

Hemel Hempstead Town win34 %
Draw28 %
Dagenham & Redbridge win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Dagenham & Redbridge have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Dagenham & Redbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Torquay(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 14, 2026Farnham Town(home)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)1-0National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Boreham Wood(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 3, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 Dagenham & RedbridgeNational League - South
Aug 25, 2025Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Jul 31, 2021Hemel Hempstead Town 0-3 Dagenham & RedbridgeFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15
Dagenham & Redbridge1.51.668/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Dagenham & Redbridge sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Dagenham & Redbridge44007112
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge played?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hemel Hempstead Town and Dagenham & Redbridge

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