Maidstone Utd vs Horsham: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Horsham. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Horsham?
Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Horsham have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salisbury(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Maidstone Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Horsham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Horsham 0-0 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 0-3 Horsham | National League - South |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Horsham 2-1 Maidstone Utd | FA Trophy |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Horsham 2-0 Maidstone Utd | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Maidstone Utd on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Horsham | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidstone Utd sit 5th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Horsham sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Horsham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Horsham?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Horsham.
- Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Horsham played?
- Maidstone Utd vs Horsham is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsHampton & Richmond
- Jan 9, 2027Slough TownvsTorquay
- Jan 9, 2027Chelmsford CityvsChesham United
- Jan 9, 2027Truro CityvsBraintree
- Jan 9, 2027FarnboroughvsBillericay Town
- Jan 9, 2027Folkestone InvictavsWeston-super-Mare
- Jan 9, 2027SalisburyvsFarnham Town
- Jan 9, 2027Dorking WanderersvsDover