Truro City vs Braintree: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall
The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Truro City vs Braintree?
Truro City starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Braintree have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 2-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Truro City win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Braintree win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Truro City 2-3 Braintree | National League |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Truro City 1-1 Braintree | National League Cup |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Braintree 2-0 Truro City | National League |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Truro City 1-2 Braintree | National League - South |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Braintree 3-2 Truro City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Braintree on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truro City | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Braintree | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Truro City sit 4th in National League - South (7 points from 3 matches) and Braintree sit 20th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Truro City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 20 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Braintree?
- The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Braintree.
- Where and when is Truro City vs Braintree played?
- Truro City vs Braintree is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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