Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Slough Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town?
Hemel Hempstead Town starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Slough Town have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 3-5 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dover(away) | 3-5 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Slough Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town 0-3 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Slough Town 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 4-1 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Slough Town 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Hemel Hempstead Town 2-3 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Slough Town 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Slough Town score 1.5 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Slough Town | 1.5 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Slough Town sit 23rd (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town?
- The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Slough Town.
- Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town played?
- Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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