Hertha BSC II vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC II the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha BSC II vs Luckenwalde?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Hertha BSC II (1,793) and Luckenwalde (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hertha BSC II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Luckenwalde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Hertha BSC II 0-1 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Luckenwalde 0-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Luckenwalde 1-0 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Hertha BSC II 0-2 Luckenwalde | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 2-1 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 1-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC II vs Luckenwalde on Apr 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha BSC II score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC II | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha BSC II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nordost (4 points from 5 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC II vs Luckenwalde?
- The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC II the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is Hertha BSC II vs Luckenwalde played?
- Hertha BSC II vs Luckenwalde is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027FSV ZwickauvsBFC Preussen
- May 9, 2027Hallescher FCvsMagdeburg II
- May 9, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsErzgebirge Aue
- May 9, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsTasmania Berlin
- May 9, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- May 9, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsGreifswalder FC
- May 9, 2027AltglienickevsLokomotive Leipzig
- May 9, 2027RSV EintrachtvsBFC Dynamo