Hertha BSC II vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Hertha BSC II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha BSC II vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hertha BSC II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 3-2 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Hertha BSC II 0-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 21, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 2-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 3, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 1-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-2 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha BSC II score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC II | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha BSC II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nordost (4 points from 5 matches) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 |
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC II vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Hertha BSC II.
- Where and when is Hertha BSC II vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?
- Hertha BSC II vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026FSV ZwickauvsAltglienicke
- Sep 16, 2026Hallescher FCvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Sep 16, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Sep 16, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsBFC Dynamo
- Sep 16, 2026LuckenwaldevsBFC Preussen
- Sep 16, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Sep 16, 2026RSV EintrachtvsGreifswalder FC
- Sep 16, 2026Magdeburg IIvsErzgebirge Aue