Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde
The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Luckenwalde (1,786) and BFC Preussen (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; BFC Preussen have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Luckenwalde win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 BFC Preussen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | BFC Preussen 3-1 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Luckenwalde 3-0 BFC Preussen | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BFC Preussen vs Luckenwalde on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| BFC Preussen | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and BFC Preussen sit 17th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 17 | BFC Preussen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen?
- The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen played?
- Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026FSV ZwickauvsAltglienicke
- Sep 16, 2026Hallescher FCvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Sep 16, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Sep 16, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Sep 16, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsBFC Dynamo
- Sep 16, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Sep 16, 2026RSV EintrachtvsGreifswalder FC
- Sep 16, 2026Magdeburg IIvsErzgebirge Aue