Match

Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde

LuckenwaldeBFC Preussen

The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Luckenwalde (1,786) and BFC Preussen (1,855).

Luckenwalde win26 %
Draw27 %
BFC Preussen win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; BFC Preussen have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luckenwalde
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026FSV Zwickau(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Tasmania Berlin(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026RSV Eintracht(away)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 24, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
BFC Preussen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026RSV Eintracht(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Luckenwalde win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 BFC Preussen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026BFC Preussen 3-1 LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 22, 2025Luckenwalde 3-0 BFC PreussenRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: BFC Preussen vs Luckenwalde on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Luckenwalde0.91.439/156/15
BFC Preussen1.61.719/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and BFC Preussen sit 17th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Luckenwalde51045113
17BFC Preussen5023492

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen?
The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen played?
Luckenwalde vs BFC Preussen is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Luckenwalde and BFC Preussen

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