Chemnitzer FC vs SV Babelsberg 03: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chemnitz, Chemnitz
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for SV Babelsberg 03. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs SV Babelsberg 03?
Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemnitzer FC have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; SV Babelsberg 03 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chemnitzer FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC 5-1 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 13, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 0-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 11, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 0-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Chemnitzer FC 2-3 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 19, 2024 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Chemnitzer FC 0-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chemnitzer FC score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nordost (13 points from 5 matches) and SV Babelsberg 03 sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemnitzer FC vs SV Babelsberg 03?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for SV Babelsberg 03.
- Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 played?
- Chemnitzer FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026FSV ZwickauvsAltglienicke
- Sep 16, 2026Hallescher FCvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Sep 16, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Sep 16, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsBFC Dynamo
- Sep 16, 2026LuckenwaldevsBFC Preussen
- Sep 16, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Sep 16, 2026RSV EintrachtvsGreifswalder FC
- Sep 16, 2026Magdeburg IIvsErzgebirge Aue