Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?

Tasmania Berlin vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tasmania Berlin vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin

Tasmania Berlin

BSG Chemie Leipzig

The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Tasmania Berlin (1,818) and BSG Chemie Leipzig (1,799).

Tasmania Berlin win45 %

Draw25 %

BSG Chemie Leipzig win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tasmania Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(home)	2-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	0-6	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-5	Regionalliga - Nordost

BSG Chemie Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	RSV Eintracht(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Hallescher FC(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	BFC Dynamo(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 30, 2022	Tasmania Berlin 0-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 7, 2021	BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-0 Tasmania Berlin	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs BSG Chemie Leipzig on Jan 30, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tasmania Berlin	2.3	2.5	3	9/15	12/15
BSG Chemie Leipzig	1.1	1.3	2	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th (1 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Tasmania Berlin	5	1	0	4	6	18	3
18	BSG Chemie Leipzig	6	0	1	5	1	8	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?: The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?: Tasmania Berlin vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.